The Path to Bitcoin
Episodes / Era 5 · Weekly discipline / Ep 87
Episode 87 · 30 May 2023 · 29:04

Offense vs. Defense

Whether Bitcoin counts as a weapon hardly matters. Mining builds a passive wall of encrypted energy that expands from the inside out without exposing its builders to risk, so the only question left for anyone outside is when to switch sides.

The one-minute version

What it argues against

Jason Lowery's framing of Bitcoin as a weapon for projecting power in cyberspace.

Ideas in this episode
This is gonna be hard. This is gonna make it difficult.02:52
In a world where everything is friction-free, that which has friction becomes important.25:34
The eighth wonder of the world, which is absolute scarcity.28:14

Every passage, on the record.

  1. 00:00Reference

    I've spent the last few days mulling over this idea as presented by Jason Lowery, that Bitcoin is a weapon of sorts to be used in cyberspace to defend whatever the holder of Bitcoin decides is worthy of defense.

  2. 00:33Idea

    The roadblock for me was trying to view Bitcoin on a spectrum of coercion to persuasion, the ultimate in persuasion, a persuasive system that has to be, by its definition, opt-in in order to gain access to it.

  3. 01:14Idea

    The mechanics of Bitcoin give rise to a wall in cyberspace around the system itself, a perimeter built up by the energy plugged into it. What that means is that this protective wall of encrypted energy, as Michael Saylor says, is what protects the ledger inside it from nefarious acts.

  4. 01:14Reference

    This protective wall, this wall of encrypted energy, as Michael Saylor says.

  5. 01:14Claim

    In order to tamper with the ledger, to change it or alter the state of Bitcoin in any way, you first have to get past the wall of encrypted energy and overcome the energy moat that emerges from it; that energy has to be transformed in a very specific manner, which means it can't be used for any other productive activity, forcing the hand of a would-be attacker to expend that amount of energy.

  6. 02:19Analogy

    This has long been the case in the physical world: walls were a passive weapon in the struggle over property rights, and for a period of time there was no way to cheat the system of walls.

  7. 02:52Claim · condensed

    The harder a wall makes it to get inside, the more secure those inside are, the more they can plan for the future, the more energy reserves they end up with; the economy inside the wall grows significantly faster and larger, which is why the energy transformed to construct walls was, for thousands of years, very well spent.

  8. 02:52Claim · condensed

    It isn't just about demanding energy from potential attackers; the wall also funnels the energy transformation required from attackers into the one avenue that can succeed against it. Attackers don't get to choose how they transform their energy reserves; the wall dictates it.

  9. 02:52Quote

    This is gonna be hard. This is gonna make it difficult.

  10. 04:22Reference

    As Jason Lowery would say, we're funneling the energy into an avenue, into a battlefield that we think we can win, because we have dictated that that is where the battle is going to take place.

  11. 05:53Analogy · condensed

    If instead of turning energy into electrical energy and passing it through ASICs you converted it to caloric energy and had humans do the hashing by hand, it would be terribly inefficient, slow, and produce almost no hash power; it becomes obvious that the energy has to be channeled through a very specific, formidable medium to stand any chance of success.

  12. 07:42Analogy · condensed

    Now coat the wall in a magical liquid that instantly melts anything that touches it unless it's been coated in a very specific, scarce compound sourced from a region nowhere near the wall itself; attackers now have to source both the energy to breach the wall and this separate compound to coat themselves or their tools.

  13. 08:23Claim · condensed

    If the coating on the wall also has to be constantly replaced and topped up, there's now competition for that same compound between the wall and the attackers, so the surface area of attack keeps shrinking with each added constraint.

  14. 08:23Claim · condensed

    Gunpowder and cannons turned castle walls into targets by inverting the energy math: a fraction of what it cost to build a castle could now buy a cannon and some gunpowder. The wall didn't disappear, it became projected, eventually becoming things like the Iron Dome, a wall made of potential energy delivered by a surface-to-air missile system; every time a new domain opens up there's a rush to secure it from all sides.

  15. 09:52Claim · condensed

    Bitcoin is the first wall in cyberspace, the massless digital world, and it's unique: the doors are open to anyone willing to follow the rules, regardless of size or background, because you are only judged in the Bitcoin system on your present behavior, not your history.

  16. 10:57Reference · condensed

    His example that he leans into is the idea that if you put something in space with a claw on it that can crush other satellites, and there are no other satellites out there yet, and you put that thing into orbit, is that offense or defense?

  17. 11:33Claim

    The land this Bitcoin fortress occupies was unknown or unattainable before its introduction; there was no prior occupation. Unlike walls in the physical world, building a wall is not an active form of aggression or war, it's a passive form.

  18. 12:17Claim · condensed

    You're not going out and imposing a cost on would-be targets; if someone decides to attack you, that cost is imposed on them, without you having to do anything. That's why it's an opt-in system: the energy moat doesn't force you to cross it, but if you run up against it, you have to.

  19. 13:27Analogy · condensed

    If you invaded a foreign land and started building a fort, you're not attacking anybody just by building it, but to make it any bigger you'd have to go beyond the walls where there is protection, exposing yourself to would-be attackers who wish to reclaim the land, which is a dangerous proposition.

  20. 14:05Idea

    Remember that Bitcoin itself, the 21 million units, represents the tassel, the total accessible supply of energy housed by the economy that is Bitcoin. If new energy enters the system, the walls expand from the inside out; there is no danger to outside attackers looking for protection.

  21. 15:35Claim · condensed

    No nation or group of nations can stop the wall's expansion; because the land area of this new world is finite, attackers are stuck between the edge of the wall and the edge of the land. The wall isn't attacking outsiders, but it makes it steadily harder for them to operate, and eventually they'll need to adapt or lose the energy reserves needed to continue.

  22. 16:32Claim · condensed

    Right now outsiders are still very efficient at energy transformation and nowhere near able to overcome the wall; land claimed today inside the wall is fixed not in size but in the number of divisible lots on offer, and as the wall expands those lots get bigger, so every second you wait to place a claim means fewer, smaller-relative lots remain on offer.

  23. 17:45Open question · condensed

    Once outsiders recognize they can't stop the wall's expansion because it happens internally, and the bridge between the outside world and the fortress can't be closed or controlled, the only question left is when do we switch sides, when do we embrace this new reality.

  24. 17:45Quote

    All right. When do we switch sides becomes the question.

  25. 18:18Claim · condensed

    The wall is passive the entire time, but pressure is still being applied to the outside world, and given enough time and enough energy flowing into the system, that pressure eventually becomes unbearable, simply by the wall existing. Bitcoin doesn't go out and acquire energy; the incentives are built so new energy reserves come to it instead.

  26. 18:18Reference

    As adoption increases and knowledge permeates through the extended order, the energy drain in the legacy system shrinks its footprint at the same time as Bitcoin's is expanding, which is one of the elements that makes the gradually then suddenly statements so important.

  27. 18:54Prediction · condensed

    There will be a point where the balance of power shifts and the inflows into Bitcoin will be beyond anything seen yet, a zero to one moment that might take decades to unravel; we're probably living through that phase change right now, and work done to position oneself before that point will be valued more highly, on an energy basis, than anything done afterward.

  28. 18:54Reference

    It is the zero to one moment, which might take decades. We're probably living through that moment right now.

  29. 19:29Claim

    Bitcoin is truth because you have to transform energy in the physical world to get it, which means we can use it in the digital world to filter for value or utility; it is the metric for judging the intentions of actors in cyberspace.

  30. 19:29Quote

    Bitcoin is truth.

  31. 20:24Claim · condensed

    Against an infinite number of other messages competing for the same energy, whose marginal cost of production is near zero, you need a tool that lets you point your attention toward whatever has maximum potential return.

  32. 20:55Claim · condensed

    How could you signal that a message is real and worth my attention, rather than a waste of time? By attaching something that isn't costless. That lets me decide how to allocate my energy accordingly; engaging with everything uncollateralized would eventually run my stack of energy to ruin even if I started with millions of Bitcoin.

  33. 20:55Prediction · condensed

    In the future, anything of real value communicated over cyberspace will be accompanied by Bitcoin, and entities and AI filters will demand it, because the cost of spamming messages over these networks keeps getting cheaper as artificial intelligence expands.

  34. 21:59Prediction · condensed

    As AI becomes more and more powerful, those who don't demand that things have Bitcoin attached to them will be overwhelmed by zero-cost attacks that drain their resources, leaving them in a worse energy position than those who recognize this new paradigm early.

  35. 24:04Claim

    The history of our universe has gone from a hundred percent physical to a mixture of digital and physical, and as we shift further into the digital world because of energy efficiencies, what remains physical gains value. We think of Bitcoin as digital money in a physical world, but in the future people will think of Bitcoin as proof of physical existence inside the digital world.

  36. 25:34Quote

    In a world where everything is friction-free, that which has friction becomes important.

  37. 25:34Claim · condensed

    On a long enough timeline, Bitcoin might be the only remnant of the physical world that humans still interact with as life reaches further into the digital, massless realm; Bitcoin will be the truth at the base layer.

  38. 25:34Claim · condensed

    Going forward, having consequences inside cyberspace is going to require Bitcoin, because it's the one thing that can't be faked or fudged: it has a tie to the physical world where energy must actually be transformed, and you're not going to be able to fake your way in.

  39. 25:34Quote

    You're not going to be able to fake your way in Bitcoin.

  40. 26:44Quote

    Bitcoin is ultimately a tool in the digital world for truth. It's a tool for trust.

  41. 26:44Claim · condensed

    Not everything will need this level of guarantee, but any equation involving trust will involve Bitcoin. Whether you frame it as a weapon or a wall doesn't actually matter; what matters is efficiently navigating this paradigm shift ahead of time, because those who do will be rewarded with the most Bitcoin.

  42. 28:14Quote

    The eighth wonder of the world, which is absolute scarcity.

  43. 28:14Claim

    Absolute scarcity is the eighth wonder of the world: if you understand what's at play in this very brief window, you know how important it is to stake a claim to some of the plots inside the wall.

  44. 28:14Claim · condensed

    Even that doesn't matter on a long enough timeline: what matters is that you keep providing energy to the system, because if you don't, the Bitcoin will eventually have to be dispersed to those who do. Even the Bitcoin whales with the largest holdings will be pushed outside the walls over time if they stop providing value.